Tuesday, September 16, 2014

College Football Math: Week 4 Watchability

Team Dashboards
    • I've updated the College Football Team Dashboard through week 3. Go check it out
    • Come back tomorrow on Thursday some time! ve been working on an expanded team dashboard I'm going to publish tomorrow night. I'm excited about it; I think it's pretty awesome!


    Watchability
    • Week 4 Watchability Schedule is below
    • Watchability is a measure of how likely a game is to be a close, well-played game
    • The first game of the week is the most watchable! Auburn gets is first real test of the year as they travel to Kansas State. Maybe. I feel like Kansas State always starts the year #17 then goes 8-4 and loses the Liberty bowl
    • I'm super intrigued to watch Utah vs. Michigan.
    • I think New Mexico @ New Mexico state probably wins the crummy game of the week award.




    • This post has way more detail on everything. Quick refresh:
      • Watchability is a measure of how likely a game is to be a close, well-played game
      • Teams are shaded by their chance to win, the greener the better

    Friday, September 12, 2014

    To Take a Break From College Football


    Go Mariners! I can barely remember what meaningful baseball in September feels like. It's outstanding. Tomorrow is probably the biggest start of Felix Hernandez's career.

    Thursday, September 11, 2014

    Week 3 Watchability

    • Week 3 Watchability Schedule is below
    • Kind of a bum schedule this week. Might a be a good week to go outside and talk to people
    • This post has way more detail on everything. Quick refresh:
      • Watchability is a measure of how likely a game is to be a close, well-played game
      • Teams are shaded by their chance to win, the greener the better
    • Sorry it's up so late, still getting my early season cobwebs cleared. But in the future I expect these to be up on Monday evenings
    • I'm kind intrigued by UCLA-Texas in a "Both teams have been crushingly terrible thus far" kind of way


    Friday, September 5, 2014

    2014 College Football Math: Week 2 Schedule

    • Week 2 Watchability Schedule is below
    • It's a nice schedule this week, the highly watchable games are nicely spread out!
    • This post has way more detail on everything. Quick refresh:
      • Watchability is a measure of how likely a game is to be a close, well-played game
      • Teams are shaded by their chance to win, the greener the better
    • Sorry it's up so late, still getting my early season cobwebs cleared. But in the future I expect these to be up on Monday evenings



    Wednesday, September 3, 2014

    Dashboard is updated through week 1!

    It's going to be a bleary day tomorrow, but I have updated the model with week 1 outcomes


    • Team rankings/ratings are updated based on week 1 games
    • Probabilities of winning each game, being bowl eligible, qualifying for the four team playoff, and winning 1, 2, 3, 4, etc. games have also all been updated
    • Game results have replaced win probabilities for week 1
    • Everything else is the same
    • Neutral site games are the bane of my existence

    Go here to make your team's dashboard

    Thursday, August 28, 2014

    2014 College Football: Week 1

    Football is back. Football is today.

    Football!

    Watchability
    I'm bringing back my Watchability ratings this year. They're a way to try to identify which games are likely to be close and well-contested. There's a long post (with math even) located here with more detail on Watchability - how it works and how it's calculated. But in summary

    • Watchability is a measure scaled from 0 to 100
    • Its purpose is to identify which games might be fun to watch, based on how good the teams playing are, and how close the game is likely to be
    • Oregon @ UCLA (on October 11th) is the currently highest rated regular season game (91.3!)
    • Watchability doesn't predict upsets, those are just surprises to be enjoyed by us all
    This week
    Without further ado: this week's Watchability guide. The orange bars are Watchability. Teams are shaded in green by their chance to win. Darker = better.


    Tuesday, August 26, 2014

    Now is the Time for Pumpkin Ale

    Pumpkin ale and FOOTBALL! Happy first week of Football everyone! I've expanded my Team Dashboard for this year. Please take a look!

    Once you look through the team dashboard and get a feel for it, head over here and make your own!